Ayr United vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AYR
2 - 1
FAL
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 1
AYR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BER
0 - 7
AYR
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ICT
1 - 1
AYR
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 3
ICT
38%
24%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
STR
1 - 2
LIV
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
STR
6 - 0
BER
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FAL
1 - 0
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
STR
0 - 1
COL
12%
17%
71%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
STR
2 - 2
BSC
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |