Ayr United vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
STE
1 - 1
AYR
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
KIL
1 - 0
AYR
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AYR
2 - 0
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
STI
1 - 3
AYR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 0
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
FAL
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
STR
1 - 2
DUN
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
STR
1 - 2
ROS
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STR
2 - 2
BRE
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
ALB
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |