Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
AYR
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
AYR
3 - 6
STR
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AYR
3 - 2
QUE
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AIR
0 - 1
AYR
43%
23%
35%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 0
ARB
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
STE
3 - 2
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
BLA
2 - 4
STE
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 2
STE
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STE
2 - 2
BLA
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
STE
0 - 1
GLA
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |