Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
AYR
0 - 0
GRE
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
AYR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 2
FAL
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
AYR
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 1
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 2
RAI
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FAL
3 - 0
RAI
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 4
RAI
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |