Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 0
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KIR
0 - 3
RAI
5%
11%
84%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 0
RAI
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |