Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
9º
7º
69
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AIR
2 - 3
AYR
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 0
AYR
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
DUN
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 2
AYR
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
AIR
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 3
ICT
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
RAI
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
QUE
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |