Ayr United vs Partick Thistle analysis

Ayr United Partick Thistle
76 ELO 75
8.1% Tilt 6.3%
845º General ELO ranking 919º
13º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
46%
Ayr United
25%
Draw
29%
Partick Thistle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29%
Win probability
Partick Thistle
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ayr United
+15%
-2%
Partick Thistle

ELO progression

Ayr United
Partick Thistle
Falkirk
Livingston
Airdrieonians
Raith Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2025
BRX
Broxburn Athletic
0 - 8
Ayr United
AYR
8%
15%
77%
75 49 26 0
14 Jan. 2025
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
30%
27%
44%
74 68 6 +1
04 Jan. 2025
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
54%
24%
22%
74 71 3 0
28 Dec. 2024
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
62%
22%
16%
74 67 7 0
21 Dec. 2024
LIV
Livingston
0 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
46%
27%
27%
73 76 3 +1

Matches

Partick Thistle
Partick Thistle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2025
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
33%
26%
42%
74 68 6 0
04 Jan. 2025
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 4
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
64%
22%
15%
75 66 9 -1
31 Dec. 2024
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
24%
26%
50%
75 67 8 0
28 Dec. 2024
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
57%
23%
20%
75 68 7 0
21 Dec. 2024
AIR
Airdrieonians
0 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
27%
25%
48%
74 64 10 +1