Ayr United vs Partick Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
RAI
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 0
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
ALL
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
QUE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
23%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |