Ayr United vs Partick Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 3
ROS
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 0
QOS
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AYR
0 - 1
ICT
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
ALL
48%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ROS
0 - 0
PAR
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
DUN
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 3
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
ICT
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |