Ayr United vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 2
STM
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AYR
4 - 3
STE
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 2
PET
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 0
HIB
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 1
AYR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 0
BRE
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIV
4 - 3
EAS
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
EAS
2 - 4
LIV
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PET
3 - 0
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
ALL
2 - 2
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |