Ayr United vs Inverness CT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 2
FAL
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 0
RAI
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 2
HAM
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 3
AYR
22%
22%
57%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 1
ICT
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ICT
0 - 2
GLA
29%
27%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
3 - 3
ICT
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ICT
0 - 1
HIB
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MHE
3 - 0
ICT
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |