Cup 1/16
Global 1-0
Ayr United vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 1
AYR
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
HIB
0 - 0
AYR
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 0
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AYR
5 - 0
SUN
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DUM
3 - 2
AYR
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HIB
0 - 3
CEL
22%
24%
53%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
HIB
0 - 0
AYR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
HOM
1 - 0
HIB
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
HIB
1 - 2
ABE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |