Ayr United vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 0
AIR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
BUC
45%
22%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STE
1 - 4
AYR
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 0
HAM
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 1
HAM
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
ROS
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 3
HAM
10%
17%
73%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |