Ayr United vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 0
STR
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
STR
1 - 1
AYR
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
PET
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
PET
1 - 4
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 3
AIR
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 2
HAM
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 1
ICT
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 2
HAM
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 4
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 3
HAM
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |