Ayr United vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
9º
7º
45
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 1
AYR
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 1
AIR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
QUE
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 2
AYR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
AYR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
3 - 1
GRE
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
QUE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
GRE
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
HOM
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |