Ayr United vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
THE
0 - 4
AYR
44%
23%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CLY
2 - 0
AYR
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CWB
3 - 1
AYR
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 2
CWB
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AYR
4 - 1
EAS
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BER
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
SPA
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HAM
10 - 2
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
FAL
24%
27%
49%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUN
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |