Ayr United vs Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
ALL
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 4
AYR
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AYR
4 - 1
ARB
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RAI
1 - 1
AYR
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
GLA
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GLA
1 - 2
HIB
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 3
GLA
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 2
GLA
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
GLA
2 - 0
ABE
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |