Ayr United vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 3
AYR
58%
21%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
AYR
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 2
AYR
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
AYR
62%
19%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
AIR
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
GLA
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
EAS
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DUN
6 - 1
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
DUN
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |