Ayr United vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
AYR
45%
25%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 1
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 2
AYR
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
AYR
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
AYR
0 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
AYR
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
STE
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
AIR
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 1
FOR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
AYR
0 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |