Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 1
AYR
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AYR
0 - 3
DUN
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 0
AYR
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AYR
1 - 0
ICT
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
AYR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 2
FAL
17%
22%
62%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 4
FAL
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
FAL
3 - 0
STI
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
COV
2 - 2
FAL
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FAL
3 - 0
BLA
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |