Ayr United vs East Fife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
AYR
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 4
DUN
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GLA
3 - 0
AYR
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
AYR
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
36%
23%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 3
BRE
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AIR
1 - 3
EAS
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 0
STE
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
EAS
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 2
STR
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |