Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
9º
7º
45
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RAI
4 - 4
AYR
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AYR
1 - 0
AIR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 0
AYR
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
AYR
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ICT
3 - 1
AYR
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
27%
27%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
PAR
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 2
DUN
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARB
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
RAI
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |