Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AYR
3 - 0
AIR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
AYR
1 - 0
ALB
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
AYR
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AYR
3 - 1
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STE
0 - 1
AYR
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
DUN
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
AIR
0 - 2
DUN
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 0
PET
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CWB
0 - 0
DUN
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
4 - 0
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |