Ayr United vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 1
AYR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AYR
1 - 0
RAI
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 1
AYR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AYR
1 - 1
AIR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
QOS
2 - 0
AYR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 0
BLA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
ROS
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 2
ABE
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
QOS
2 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |