Ayr United vs Clachnacuddin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 0
ARB
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 0
AYR
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 1
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AYR
3 - 0
BRE
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 3
AYR
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Clachnacuddin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CLA
4 - 2
FOR
16%
21%
62%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CLA
2 - 1
LOS
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
INV
3 - 2
CLA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CLA
1 - 1
INV
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 3
CLA
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |