Ayr United vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 2
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
HAM
1 - 2
AYR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
AYR
2 - 3
QUE
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ROS
2 - 0
AYR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
AYR
1 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
47%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BER
2 - 0
AIR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 2
BER
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
RAI
3 - 1
BER
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
BER
1 - 1
CWB
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
STE
2 - 0
BER
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -2 |