Ayr United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RAI
1 - 1
AYR
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
STR
1 - 5
AYR
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
AYR
2 - 3
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
AIR
2 - 0
AYR
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 1
QUE
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
ARB
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 1
EAS
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 2
RAI
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |