Ayr United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
STE
4 - 0
AYR
54%
23%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 3
AYR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 2
ALL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 1
EAS
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
AYR
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
STR
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARB
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 0
STE
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARB
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |