Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
AYR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AYR
0 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 3
ROS
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 0
QOS
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 2
ICT
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
ALL
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 0
QOS
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 2
ALL
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FAL
1 - 2
ALL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |