Cup 1/32
Global 1-5
Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AYR
0 - 2
BRE
51%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
AYR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PET
2 - 0
AYR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AYR
2 - 3
AIR
60%
21%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RAI
1 - 1
ALL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
2 - 3
CWB
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
HOM
21%
27%
52%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
ALL
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DUM
3 - 1
ALL
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |