Ayr United vs Albion Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 3
AYR
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AYR
4 - 0
STI
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 0
AYR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 4
PET
29%
24%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
STR
1 - 0
AYR
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
THE
1 - 5
ALB
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CLY
2 - 3
ALB
35%
27%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 0
ALB
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 0
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |