Ayr United vs Albion Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
AIR
0 - 1
AYR
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
AYR
2 - 2
AIR
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
AYR
3 - 2
BRE
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 2
AYR
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PET
2 - 3
AYR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
ALB
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 2
THE
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
STE
2 - 0
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 3
ELG
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 0
CWB
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |