Ayr United vs Airdrieonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
QOS
2 - 0
AYR
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
AYR
0 - 2
STM
41%
25%
33%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
AYR
0 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ICT
0 - 0
AYR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AYR
1 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 1
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
AIR
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 1
QOS
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 1
AIR
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
AIR
0 - 0
ALL
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |