Aylestone Park vs Wellingborough Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
47.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylestone Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 3
AYL
22%
20%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AYL
3 - 4
COG
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AYL
2 - 0
LUT
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
STN
1 - 2
AYL
43%
21%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HIS
3 - 2
AYL
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Wellingborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 2
WEL
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
OAD
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
WEL
10%
17%
74%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LUT
0 - 5
WEL
18%
21%
61%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
YAX
76%
15%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |