Aylesbury vs Stansted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
AYL
0 - 3
TRI
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BIG
1 - 1
AYL
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
AYL
2 - 1
COC
21%
21%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 1
AYL
30%
22%
47%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
AYL
1 - 1
SAW
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Stansted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
LEV
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HAT
5 - 1
STA
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STA
4 - 2
BAL
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
STC
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
SAW
82%
12%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |