Aylesbury vs Shefford Town & Campton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
POT
4 - 1
AYL
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AYL
1 - 0
STA
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
AYL
0 - 3
TRI
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BIG
1 - 1
AYL
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
AYL
2 - 1
COC
21%
21%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shefford Town & Campton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
STC
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 1
STC
66%
18%
17%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
STC
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
STC
3 - 2
BIG
33%
21%
47%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STC
1 - 3
LON
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |