Ayia Napa vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayia Napa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DOX
0 - 1
AYI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AEL
2 - 2
AYI
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AYI
0 - 0
NEA
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NEA
0 - 0
AYI
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AYI
1 - 0
OTH
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ETH
1 - 1
AEL
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NEA
1 - 0
ETH
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 1
OTH
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ETH
0 - 0
ERM
37%
27%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AEK
5 - 0
ETH
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |