Ayia Napa vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
6º
6º
21
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 23 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 21 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 12 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 11 |
8º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
31.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayia Napa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PAE
3 - 0
AYI
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ANA
2 - 0
AYI
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AYI
2 - 0
OLY
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AYI
1 - 0
XYL
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AYI
1 - 0
DYP
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ERM
1 - 3
XYL
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DYP
2 - 3
ERM
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
ERM
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ERM
0 - 1
PAE
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 2
ERM
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |