Ayamonte vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
AYA
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALG
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
AYA
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 0
AYA
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CON
0 - 3
SRO
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
COR
5 - 0
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CON
0 - 2
SEV
26%
26%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
REC
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |