Ayamonte vs AD Ceuta FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
16º
13º
40
2º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CDL
3 - 0
AYA
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SEV
1 - 0
AYA
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 0
COR
44%
25%
32%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CIS
1 - 1
AYA
77%
14%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AYA
3 - 1
POZ
24%
24%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
AD Ceuta FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
SEV
53%
24%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
CAC
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
CIS
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
POZ
2 - 0
CAC
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
XER
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |