Ayamonte vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AYA
3 - 0
CDG
58%
22%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAC
2 - 3
AYA
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
AYA
2 - 0
ROC
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 1
AYA
58%
23%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 0
CCF
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
REC
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CDG
3 - 2
CAS
31%
26%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
ALC
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 4
CAS
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
COR
34%
26%
41%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |