AWC vs Staphorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
AWC
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
AWC
1 - 1
BAR
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
RKA
1 - 2
AWC
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AWC
0 - 0
RKA
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
AWC
2 - 2
LON
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Staphorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
STE
0 - 2
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STA
2 - 3
HOE
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 1
STA
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
GVV
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |