AWC vs GVV Unitas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
15º
15º
29
6º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
94% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
AWC
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AWC
0 - 2
OSS
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GEM
0 - 0
AWC
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
AWC
2 - 2
OJC
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 3
AWC
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
GVV Unitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GVV
0 - 2
KLO
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 2
GVV
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOG
3 - 0
GVV
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GVV
1 - 2
TIE
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 2
GVV
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |