Avranches vs Saint-Colomban Locminé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
12º
5º
7
4º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
3 | 65 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 56 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 44 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 37 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 20 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 45% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
AVR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 1
LES
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVR
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 3
NIO
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
AVR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Saint-Colomban Locminé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
SAU
25%
25%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 1
LAN
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
LOC
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
1 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 1
LOC
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |