Avranches vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
LAV
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
AVR
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
AVR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
LES
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 3
AVR
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAU
1 - 1
CAE
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
LAV
0 - 3
SAU
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAU
1 - 2
CAR
34%
29%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
SAU
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 1
SAU
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |