Avranches vs Stade Poitevin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
4º
22
1º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 63 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 52 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 38 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 32 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 30 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 19 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LPS
2 - 1
AVR
14%
21%
66%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 3
LOC
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
AVR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 1
LES
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVR
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
SAU
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 1
POI
84%
13%
4%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
BOU
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 2
POI
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
POI
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |