Avranches vs Mantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 0
PAC
25%
27%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 0
STA
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
STP
0 - 0
AVR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
LAV
31%
28%
41%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PON
1 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
LES
37%
27%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AUB
2 - 1
MAN
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 1
POI
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |