Avranches vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VCH
2 - 2
AVR
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AVR
2 - 0
PLA
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CON
4 - 1
AVR
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AVR
0 - 2
SAU
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
LAV
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
6 - 2
LAV
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PON
0 - 2
LUC
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
LES
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FON
0 - 2
LUC
19%
24%
56%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
0 - 7
ROM
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |