Avranches vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LEH
0 - 1
AVR
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AVR
3 - 1
LEM
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
AVR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 1
VCH
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 1
AVR
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
FON
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 1
LOR
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 2
SAU
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 1
LOR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |