Avranches vs Les Herbiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 3
AVR
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 1
AVR
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
ROM
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
AVR
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LES
0 - 0
LAV
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
5 - 0
LES
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PON
1 - 1
LES
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LES
1 - 1
SAU
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
LES
1 - 0
LOR
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |